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讲座预告|AI, Digital Trade and Welfare Gains

发布日期:2023-03-10 信息来源:经管抢庄斗牛 浏览次数: 字号:[ ]

报告人:Ruiqi (Rachel) Sun(孙睿琦)

时间:2023年3月15日(周三)15:00—16:30

地点:1教215教室  

主持人:林发勤 教授

讨论人:中国农业大学 颜建晔 教授


报告人简介:

孙睿琦

研究领域:国际贸易、宏观经济、数字经济

博士毕业于清华大学,本科毕业于中央财经大学。目前于多伦多大学罗特曼管理抢庄斗牛担任博士后研究员。曾在Journal of Monetary Economics等杂志发表文章。 

 


讲座内容简介:

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a powerful technology that is expected to have a significant impact on international trade flows, yet little is currently known empirically about this. In this paper, we focus on the impact of AI on digital services trade embedded in mobile apps, which are widely used by over half of the world's population. Using data on mobile app usage from 2014-2020 and information on patents held by app publishers, we develop a novel machine learning approach to predict the use of AI patents in each app and construct a variety-level measure of AI deployment. To instrument AI deployment, we utilize cost-shifters from the theory of comparative advantage, where firms in countries with abundant AI resources are expected to have a comparative advantage in producing AI-intensive apps. Our results show that AI deployment has a significant impact on international trade in mobile app services. Specifically, we find that AI deployment increases app monthly active users by a factor of six and leads to increased entry into new markets and decreased exit from existing markets. Moreover, our analysis shows that AI deployment leads to welfare gains for consumers through the availability of better and more diverse products. Overall, our findings provide new insights into the role of AI in shaping international trade in mobile app services and suggest that AI will likely continue to have a significant impact on global trade in the future.

Paper link (NBER version): https://www.nber.org/papers/w29980



项目支持:

国家自然科学基金面上项目“贸易摩擦对金融风险的因果影响、内在机理和防范政策研究”(72073128)

国家自然科学基金国际(地区)合作与交流项目“南南农业合作促进中国和世界粮食安全的机制与政策研究”(72261147471)


主办单位:中国农业大学经济管理抢庄斗牛国际农产品贸易研究中心  


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